Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 39.029411 42.558395 46.448658 51.091818 56.532023 62.767276 70.548473
2025-03-16 32.744567 37.121943 42.275004 48.904244 57.386705 68.149517 83.328865
2025-03-23 30.507614 35.564375 41.811120 50.325086 62.029507 78.255573 103.954481
2025-03-30 28.155453 33.447953 40.206458 49.805298 63.725551 84.415944 120.572957
2025-04-06 26.240252 31.635301 38.707709 49.093719 64.846271 89.736019 137.431865
2025-04-13 24.261567 29.544270 36.595138 47.194766 63.798173 91.255788 147.842715
2025-04-20 23.727325 29.322292 36.992051 48.938384 68.615517 103.653453 185.580185
2025-04-27 23.127403 28.944654 37.106201 50.225757 72.855759 116.129296 231.698129
2025-05-04 22.597679 28.613089 37.236684 51.520714 77.299124 130.343808 295.015903
2025-05-11 21.742450 27.751670 36.496212 51.290232 78.878291 138.884253 349.961804
2025-05-18 20.962580 26.949134 35.779045 51.009426 80.294341 147.508558 417.334220
2025-05-25 20.129509 26.020631 34.800367 50.173879 80.459763 153.097088 481.103678
2025-06-01 19.287048 25.084868 33.826653 49.397279 80.942281 160.670771 580.519332
2025-06-08 18.227457 23.779822 32.200756 47.330707 78.428820 159.241238 624.156024
2025-06-15 17.954959 23.648123 32.441372 48.677796 83.633670 183.301885 989.957080
2025-06-22 17.348677 22.969775 31.739998 48.185087 84.550603 194.242013 1338.580831
2025-06-29 16.756425 22.284096 30.982847 47.510304 84.919573 203.637676 1832.537160
2025-07-06 16.002294 21.314685 29.700230 45.708006 82.247991 200.410380 2021.166123
2025-07-13 15.907035 21.374054 30.152316 47.362960 88.604750 237.961861 6473.080707
2025-07-20 15.737927 21.305422 30.377278 48.583657 94.166609 278.451461 234223.393849
2025-07-27 15.574960 21.236801 30.594463 49.810520 100.105021 329.445723 NaN
2025-08-03 15.204365 20.813489 30.157108 49.592232 101.769001 357.846546 NaN
2025-08-10 14.848730 20.400637 29.716262 49.326240 103.254237 388.009320 NaN